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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
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Norway
3 - 1
Cyprus

Solbakken (12'), Haaland (56' pen., 60')
Aursnes (18'), Finne (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kastanos (90+3')
Pittas (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Norway 1-2 Scotland
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland369
2Georgia214
3Spain213
4Norway3-41
5Cyprus2-40
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Cyprus 1-2 Georgia
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland369
2Georgia214
3Spain213
4Norway3-41
5Cyprus2-40

We said: Norway 3-1 Cyprus

History should repeat itself in more ways than one here, as Norway make it 12 wins from 12 against their lowly foes with another multiple-goal showing. The hosts' defensive deficiencies will hinder their chances of a victory to nil, but the Lions possess the necessary firepower to put Cyprus to the sword and force their way back into top-two contention. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.02%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result
NorwayDrawCyprus
83.05% (39.124 39.12) 11.96% (-9.745 -9.75) 4.99% (-29.376 -29.38)
Both teams to score 38.2% (-31.587 -31.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (-7.585 -7.58)37.42% (7.589 7.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (-8.649 -8.65)59.64% (8.652 8.65)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.28% (7.784 7.78)6.72% (-7.779 -7.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.15% (17.644 17.64)24.85% (-17.639 -17.64)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.95% (-40.668 -40.67)59.05% (40.672 40.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.84% (-40.64 -40.64)90.16% (40.644 40.64)
Score Analysis
    Norway 83.05%
    Cyprus 4.99%
    Draw 11.96%
NorwayDrawCyprus
2-0 @ 14.46% (9.491 9.49)
3-0 @ 13.02% (9.821 9.82)
1-0 @ 10.71% (5.564 5.56)
4-0 @ 8.79% (7.247 7.25)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.799 -0.8)
3-1 @ 6.86% (1.44 1.44)
5-0 @ 4.75% (4.151 4.15)
4-1 @ 4.63% (2.015 2.02)
5-1 @ 2.5% (1.491 1.49)
6-0 @ 2.14% (1.945 1.95)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-2.783 -2.78)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.996 -1)
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.801 0.8)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 83.05%
1-1 @ 5.64% (-3.075 -3.08)
0-0 @ 3.97% (1.302 1.3)
2-2 @ 2.01% (-5.123 -5.12)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 11.96%
0-1 @ 2.09% (-2.424 -2.42)
1-2 @ 1.49% (-5.897 -5.9)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 4.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norway 1-2 Scotland
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Norway
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Norway
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Norway 1-1 Finland
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-2 Norway
Thursday, November 17 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 0-2 Serbia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 1-2 Georgia
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 2-2 Cyprus
Tuesday, March 28 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Cyprus
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 2-3 Cyprus
Sunday, November 20 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cyprus 0-2 Bulgaria
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kosovo 5-1 Cyprus
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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