SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.02%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Cyprus |
83.05% ( 39.12) | 11.96% ( -9.75) | 4.99% ( -29.38) |
| Both teams to score 38.2% ( -31.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.58% ( -7.58) | 37.42% ( 7.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.36% ( -8.65) | 59.64% ( 8.65) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.28% ( 7.78) | 6.72% ( -7.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.15% ( 17.64) | 24.85% ( -17.64) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.95% ( -40.67) | 59.05% ( 40.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.84% ( -40.64) | 90.16% ( 40.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norway | Draw | Cyprus |
| 2-0 @ 14.46% ( 9.49) 3-0 @ 13.02% ( 9.82)1-0 @ 10.71% ( 5.56)4-0 @ 8.79% ( 7.25)2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.8)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 1.44)5-0 @ 4.75% ( 4.15)4-1 @ 4.63% ( 2.02)5-1 @ 2.5% ( 1.49)6-0 @ 2.14% ( 1.95)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -2.78)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -1)6-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.8)Other @ 3.42% Total : 83.05% | 1-1 @ 5.64% ( -3.08) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 1.3)2-2 @ 2.01% ( -5.12)Other @ 0.35% Total : 11.96% | 0-1 @ 2.09% ( -2.42) 1-2 @ 1.49% ( -5.9)Other @ 1.41% Total : 4.99% |
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