SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Georgia |
55.76% ( 11.83) | 25.34% ( 3.64) | 18.9% ( -15.47) |
| Both teams to score 43.37% ( -26.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.04% ( -28.12) | 57.96% ( 28.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.35% ( -27.66) | 78.65% ( 27.66) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( -6.33) | 20.83% ( 6.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.5% ( -11.01) | 53.5% ( 11.01) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.78% ( -26.84) | 45.22% ( 26.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.89% ( -31.59) | 81.11% ( 31.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scotland | Draw | Georgia |
| 1-0 @ 14.77% ( 9.62) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 6.62)2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.78)3-0 @ 6.06% ( 2.86)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.61)4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.83)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -2.68)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.73)Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 3) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 6.76)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -3.48)Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 2.96) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -2.73)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.86)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -2.94)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -3.06)Other @ 1.61% Total : 18.9% |
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