SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Georgia |
21.55% ( -0.59) | 24.86% ( -0.87) | 53.58% ( 1.46) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( 1.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( 2.64) | 53.35% ( -2.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( 2.19) | 74.89% ( -2.19) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% ( 0.91) | 39.66% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% ( 0.83) | 76.34% ( -0.83) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 1.66) | 19.88% ( -1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% ( 2.61) | 51.99% ( -2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cyprus | Draw | Georgia |
| 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.59) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.55% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.85)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 10.28% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.57% |
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