SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Hungary | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Germany | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | England | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Bulgaria |
53.88% ( -0.34) | 26.72% ( -0.06) | 19.41% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 40.71% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.12% ( 0.58) | 61.88% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.35% ( 0.43) | 81.65% ( -0.42) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.1) | 23.26% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% ( 0.15) | 57.18% ( -0.15) |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.05% ( 0.82) | 46.95% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.55% ( 0.61) | 82.45% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 1-0 @ 15.92% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.41% |
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