SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Hungary | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Germany | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | England | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 44.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hungary in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hungary.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Estonia |
44.64% ( 0.01) | 28.11% ( -0.09) | 27.24% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.78% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.28% ( 0.33) | 60.71% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.22% ( 0.25) | 80.78% ( -0.25) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( 0.16) | 27.12% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% ( 0.21) | 62.51% ( -0.22) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.45% ( 0.24) | 38.54% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.7% ( 0.23) | 75.29% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Estonia |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.24% |
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