SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Hungary | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Germany | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | England | 6 | -6 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Hungary win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Greece |
27.24% ( -9.48) | 28.67% ( 1.59) | 44.08% ( 7.88) |
| Both teams to score 43.33% ( -7.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.45% ( -7.88) | 62.55% ( 7.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.86% ( -6.14) | 82.14% ( 6.14) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.42% ( -10.92) | 39.57% ( 10.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( -11.79) | 76.26% ( 11.79) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( 0.68) | 28.29% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( 0.85) | 64.01% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Greece |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -1.96)2-0 @ 4.81% ( -1.67)3-1 @ 1.88% ( -1.47)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -1.22)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.89)Other @ 1.43% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( 2.89)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -1.14)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 14.13% ( 3.85) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( 2.55)1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 1.13)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.44)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.37)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.08% |
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