SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Denmark | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 65.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Finland had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | Finland |
65.9% ( -0.02) | 20.68% ( 0.01) | 13.43% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.25% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( 0.02) | 49.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( 0.02) | 71.25% ( -0.02) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( 0) | 14.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.27% ( 0) | 41.73% ( 0) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.68% ( 0.05) | 47.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.27% ( 0.04) | 82.73% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Denmark | Draw | Finland |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 65.89% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.68% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 13.43% |
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