SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.37%) and 0-1 (5.04%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Andorra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Andorra |
34.82% ( 0) | 21.66% ( 0.01) | 43.51% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 70.11% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.53% ( -0.07) | 29.47% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.08) | 50.55% ( 0.08) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( -0.03) | 18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.13% ( -0.05) | 48.87% ( 0.05) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.5% ( -0.03) | 14.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.5% ( -0.06) | 42.5% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Andorra |
| 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0)0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.51% |
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