SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Moldova in this match.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Andorra |
46.92% ( -0.03) | 22.72% ( -0.02) | 30.35% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.93% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.1) | 36.71% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.13% ( 0.11) | 58.87% ( -0.12) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( 0.03) | 16.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.54% ( 0.05) | 45.46% ( -0.06) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( 0.07) | 23.82% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( 0.11) | 58% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moldova | Draw | Andorra |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.35% |
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