After a brief blip, normal service should be resumed for Latvia, who are set to secure their spot in League C with a win in Andorra. They have scored goals at an average of just over two per game in this Nations League campaign, so can continue that rate on the final day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
