We expect Faroe Islands to put up a fight as victory here could see them move level on points with the hosts in second place. However, they have managed just one win from their last 12 away games and we predict the spoils will be shared with both sides settling for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Faroe Islands
45.41% ( -0.03)	24.23% ( 0)	30.36% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.49% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.14% (

0.01)

43.85% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.76% (

0.01)

66.24% (

-0.01)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

-0.01)

19.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.67% (

-0.01)

51.33% (

0.01)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

0.02)

27.36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

0.03)

62.82% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 45.41%

Faroe Islands 30.36%

Draw 24.22%

Luxembourg	Draw	Faroe Islands
2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.41%	1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.36%