SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Romania | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Israel | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 5 | Belarus | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 6 | Andorra | 6 | -7 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Romania | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Israel | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 5 | Belarus | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 6 | Andorra | 6 | -7 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.86%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Romania |
14.82% ( 0.03) | 22.58% ( 0.01) | 62.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.2% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.08% ( 0.01) | 53.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( 0) | 75.37% ( -0.01) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.89% ( 0.03) | 48.11% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.69% ( 0.03) | 83.31% ( -0.03) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% ( -0.01) | 16.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.31% ( -0.02) | 46.69% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belarus | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.82% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 14.4% 0-2 @ 12.86% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.42% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.59% |
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