SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 47.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Bulgaria |
47.48% ( -0.05) | 26.82% ( 0.01) | 25.7% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.88% ( -0.01) | 57.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.01% ( -0.01) | 77.99% ( 0.01) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( -0.03) | 24.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% ( -0.04) | 58.38% ( 0.04) |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.12% ( 0.02) | 37.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% ( 0.02) | 74.65% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovenia | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 25.7% |
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