SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Armenia |
65.28% ( -1.7) | 20.92% ( 0.83) | 13.79% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( -1.56) | 49.43% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -1.42) | 71.47% ( 1.41) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( -1.01) | 14.37% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.75% ( -1.98) | 42.24% ( 1.98) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.09% ( 0.39) | 46.9% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.58% ( 0.29) | 82.41% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovenia | Draw | Armenia |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.31% Total : 65.27% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.92% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.79% |
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