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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Turkey |
45.18% ( -0.02) | 24.63% ( -0.11) | 30.18% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( 0.52) | 45.76% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( 0.5) | 68.08% ( -0.5) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( 0.21) | 20.34% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.26% ( 0.33) | 52.74% ( -0.34) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 0.34) | 28.43% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.81% ( 0.43) | 64.19% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Turkey |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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