SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Turkey |
38.98% ( 2.85) | 23.74% ( -0.06) | 37.28% ( -2.79) |
| Both teams to score 62.45% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( 0.4) | 39.59% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( 0.41) | 61.94% ( -0.41) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( 1.59) | 20.56% ( -1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( 2.45) | 53.08% ( -2.45) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( -1.16) | 21.38% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.63% ( -1.83) | 54.37% ( 1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Turkey |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.49)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.36)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.28% |
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