Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.
