European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 22, 2021 at 8pm UK

Wembley Stadium

Czech Republic
0 - 1
England

Boril (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sterling (12')

Bukayo Saka full of confidence after display against Czech Republic

Gareth Southgate "cannot speak highly enough" of Bukayo Saka

Raheem Sterling hails Grealish, Saka as England top Euro 2020 group

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 0-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
Czech Republic	Draw	England
19.63%	19.89%	60.48%

Both teams to score 61.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.97%

34.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.1%

55.9%

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54%

30.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.33%

66.67%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.01%

10.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.75%

35.25%

Score Analysis

Czech Republic 19.63%

England 60.48%

Draw 19.89%

Czech Republic	Draw	England
2-1 @ 5.22% 1-0 @ 3.98% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.29% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.77% Total : 19.63%	1-1 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.89%	1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 8.16% 0-1 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 7.14% 0-3 @ 6.01% 2-3 @ 4.25% 1-4 @ 3.94% 0-4 @ 3.32% 2-4 @ 2.34% 1-5 @ 1.74% 0-5 @ 1.47% 2-5 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.06% Total : 60.48%