Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 0-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.
