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FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
The EBB Stadium.
SC

Aldershot
2 - 2
Stockport

Stokes (10', 67')
Willard (40'), Stokes (79'), Harries (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Byrne (13'), Madden (46')
Wright (27'), Pye (49'), Southam-Hales (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aldershot 1-0 Halifax
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Salford City
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Aldershot Town 1-1 Stockport County

Aldershot have shown that they possess fighting spirit in abundance during narrow wins over Bromley and Halifax recently - a characteristic which will be very helpful against Stockport this weekend. The Hatters are not at their scintillating best at the moment, and we feel that the League Two pacesetters will need a replay back at Edgeley Park to get past the Shots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawStockport County
15.94% (-0.057 -0.06) 20.35% (0.238 0.24) 63.71% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.946 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-1.191 -1.19)42.72% (1.191 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-1.194 -1.19)65.12% (1.195 1.19)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (-0.797 -0.8)39.79% (0.798 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (-0.746 -0.75)76.46% (0.746 0.75)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.26% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)12.74% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.01% (-0.859 -0.86)38.99% (0.86 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 15.94%
    Stockport County 63.7%
    Draw 20.35%
Aldershot TownDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 4.67% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 4.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.15% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 15.94%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.264 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.35%
0-2 @ 10.76% (0.23 0.23)
0-1 @ 10.44% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 7.39% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.81% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 3.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.51% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.45% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 63.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aldershot 1-0 Halifax
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 2-3 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Swindon 4-7 Aldershot
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Salford City
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 2-4 Stockport
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 5-1 Worksop
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup


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