SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Stockport County |
15.94% ( -0.06) | 20.35% ( 0.24) | 63.71% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( -1.19) | 42.72% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( -1.19) | 65.12% ( 1.19) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.8) | 39.79% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.54% ( -0.75) | 76.46% ( 0.75) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% ( -0.41) | 12.74% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.01% ( -0.86) | 38.99% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 15.94% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.35% | 0-2 @ 10.76% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.38)1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.3% Total : 63.7% |
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