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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Stockport County |
29.02% ( -0.04) | 23.29% ( 0.01) | 47.69% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.06) | 40.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.06) | 62.61% ( 0.07) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.06) | 26.43% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -0.08) | 61.61% ( 0.08) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.01) | 17.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.63% ( -0.02) | 47.37% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.02% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.51% 0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 4.07% Total : 47.69% |
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