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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
AT

Swindon
4 - 7
Aldershot

Kemp (75', 78'), Austin (90+2', 90+5')
Godwin-Malife (71')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Barham (1', 4', 58'), Stokes (9'), Tolaj (45+3', 51'), Harries (47' pen.)
Widdrington (37'), Barham (59'), Frost (76')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Swindon Town and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAldershot Town
62.46% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 19.36%18.18% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.11% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.17% (0.034000000000006 0.03)33.83% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.33% (0.038000000000004 0.04)55.67% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)10.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66% (0.012 0.01)33.99% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)31.77% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8% (0.045000000000002 0.05)68.2% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 62.46%
    Aldershot Town 18.18%
    Draw 19.36%
Swindon TownDrawAldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.32%
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.14%
4-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 62.46%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.36%
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-2 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 18.18%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Newport
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Reading 5-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 4-2 Maidenhead
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 0-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League


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