SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Aldershot Town |
37.38% ( -0.04) | 25.02% ( -0.01) | 37.6% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( 0.02) | 45.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( 0.02) | 68.05% ( -0.03) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( -0.01) | 24.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( -0.02) | 58.38% ( 0.01) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.03) | 23.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( 0.05) | 58.22% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)0-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 37.6% |
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