SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Colchester United |
61.56% ( 0.56) | 20.9% ( -0.08) | 17.54% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% ( -0.46) | 42.3% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( -0.46) | 64.71% ( 0.47) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.77% ( 0.02) | 13.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60% ( 0.04) | 40% ( -0.04) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( -0.82) | 37.6% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.62% ( -0.82) | 74.38% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.54% |
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