SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Ramsgate had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Ramsgate win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Ramsgate |
45.48% ( -2.99) | 22.75% ( 0.3) | 31.77% ( 2.68) |
| Both teams to score 64.63% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.88% ( 0.03) | 36.11% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.78% ( 0.03) | 58.22% ( -0.04) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( -1.07) | 16.38% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.98% ( -1.97) | 46.02% ( 1.97) |
| Ramsgate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( 1.62) | 22.71% ( -1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( 2.35) | 56.37% ( -2.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Ramsgate |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.43)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.27)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.21% Total : 31.77% |
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