SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stocksbridge Park Steels win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stocksbridge Park Steels win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stocksbridge Park Steels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Stocksbridge Park Steels |
36.8% ( 0.44) | 23.95% ( 0.13) | 39.24% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( -0.62) | 40.67% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( -0.63) | 63.06% ( 0.63) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( -0.05) | 22.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.52% ( -0.08) | 55.47% ( 0.08) |
| Stocksbridge Park Steels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -0.54) | 20.91% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( -0.84) | 53.63% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Stocksbridge Park Steels |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.8% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 39.24% |
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