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National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows
BP

Darlington
2 - 2
Bradford Park Av

Felix (7'), Newall (56')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Longbottom (32' pen., 41')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Bradford Park Avenue.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-0 Darlington
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-0 Southport
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
DarlingtonDrawBradford Park Avenue
62.27% (-0.277 -0.28) 20.57% (0.123 0.12) 17.15% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.51% (-0.296 -0.3)41.48% (0.292 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (-0.302 -0.3)63.88% (0.297 0.3)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)12.77% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.95% (-0.351 -0.35)39.05% (0.347 0.35)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66%74.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 62.27%
    Bradford Park Avenue 17.15%
    Draw 20.57%
DarlingtonDrawBradford Park Avenue
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 17.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-0 Darlington
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Chester
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-0 Darlington
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 0-0 Darlington
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 3-1 Darlington
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-0 Southport
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-4 Buxton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 4-0 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North


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