SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
62.96% ( 0.07) | 21.09% ( -0.03) | 15.94% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( 0.06) | 45.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( 0.06) | 68.29% ( -0.06) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( 0.04) | 13.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.51% ( 0.08) | 41.49% ( -0.08) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.23% ( -0.01) | 41.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.76% ( -0.01) | 78.23% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 62.96% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.95% |
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