SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salisbury | Draw | Chippenham Town |
35.48% ( 0.01) | 24.54% ( 0.01) | 39.98% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.03) | 43.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( -0.03) | 66.05% ( 0.03) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.01) | 24.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( -0.01) | 58.51% ( 0.02) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.02) | 21.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% ( -0.03) | 55.08% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salisbury | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.48% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.98% |
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