SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
34.93% ( 0.09) | 25.48% ( -0.05) | 39.59% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( 0.26) | 48.02% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( 0.24) | 70.19% ( -0.24) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( 0.18) | 26.54% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( 0.24) | 61.74% ( -0.24) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 0.09) | 23.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( 0.14) | 58.2% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.93% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.59% |
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