Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
