Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
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