Gillingham have been playing well as of late, despite their league positioning, and that is something that could lead to them causing problems on Sunday.
However, even with the confidence that the hosts have, Saturday will likely prove to be a difficult test for them against a team proving to be dominant right now.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
