Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
