SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 91.93%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 2.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.95%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.68%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (0.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Sheffield United |
91.93% ( 0.53) | 5.79% ( -0.37) | 2.28% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 42.79% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.61% ( 1.21) | 18.39% ( -1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.23% ( 1.76) | 35.77% ( -1.76) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.84% ( 0.21) | 2.16% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 89.56% ( 0.82) | 10.44% ( -0.82) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.73% ( 0.2) | 56.27% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.37% ( 0.11) | 88.62% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 3-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.45)5-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.36)6-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.18)7-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)7-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.14)8-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 5.11% Total : 91.92% | 1-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.42% Total : 5.79% | Other @ 2.28% Total : 2.28% |
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