SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Ilkeston had a probability of 14.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Ilkeston win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Ilkeston |
66.14% ( 0.04) | 19.06% ( -0.03) | 14.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( 0.13) | 39.09% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.58% ( 0.13) | 61.42% ( -0.14) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.99% ( 0.05) | 11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.71% ( 0.1) | 35.28% ( -0.1) |
| Ilkeston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.96% ( 0.07) | 39.04% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.24% ( 0.07) | 75.76% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Ilkeston |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.26% Total : 66.14% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.06% | 1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 14.8% |
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