SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 82.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 5.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.7%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Buxton |
82.42% ( 0.18) | 12.25% ( -0.06) | 5.32% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 39.42% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.79% ( -0.31) | 37.2% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.59% ( -0.33) | 59.41% ( 0.33) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.2% ( -0.03) | 6.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.91% ( -0.07) | 25.08% ( 0.07) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.3% ( -0.63) | 57.7% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.57% ( -0.35) | 89.43% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Buxton |
| 2-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 82.4% | 1-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 12.26% | 0-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.57% Total : 5.32% |
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