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FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
4 - 0
Buxton

Chaplin (33', 73'), Ahadme (38'), Jackson (90+2')
Davis (27'), Chirewa (49'), Morsy (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brisley (23'), McKay (28')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

We said: Ipswich Town 3-0 Buxton

Ipswich Town will likely rotate their squad for Sunday's contest, but they should still have more than enough to cruise past their visitors and advance to the third round. Buxton will arrive looking to cause an upset, but McKenna's men will likely contain the National League North side and force plenty of chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 82.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 5.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.7%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBuxton
82.42% (0.18000000000001 0.18) 12.25% (-0.06 -0.06) 5.32% (-0.1209 -0.12)
Both teams to score 39.42% (-0.598 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (-0.305 -0.31)37.2% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59% (-0.33 -0.33)59.41% (0.33 0.33)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.2% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)6.8% (0.0261 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.91% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)25.08% (0.07 0.07)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.3% (-0.63 -0.63)57.7% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.57% (-0.352 -0.35)89.43% (0.351 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 82.4%
    Buxton 5.32%
    Draw 12.26%
Ipswich TownDrawBuxton
2-0 @ 14.17% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 12.7% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 8.54% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.7% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 4.59% (0.035 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 82.4%
1-1 @ 5.8% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 12.26%
0-1 @ 2.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.6% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 5.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 19 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bracknell Town 0-3 Ipswich
Monday, November 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Charlton 4-4 Ipswich
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-4 Banbury
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, November 8 at 8.15pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Merthyr Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Southport 1-4 Buxton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Darlington
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North


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