While Rotherham have been more reliant on their home form this campaign, three successive defeats on familiar territory make this a difficult contest. On the other hand, Stoke have one of the better away records in the division, leading us to predict a hard-fought triumph for the Potters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
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