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FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
ST

Accrington
2 - 2
Swindon

Accrington win 4-1 on penalties
Walton (17', 90+1')
Conneely (117')
FT
(aet)
Hall (45+2'), Cotterill (70')
Kilkenny (25')
Butterworth (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Accrington
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Swindon Town

Accrington have a habit of scoring goals against the visitors, a trend we expect to continue in the cup this weekend. There are a lot of issues both on and off the pitch at Swindon at the moment, so we think Accrington will edge a tight encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%).

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
28.98% (0.148 0.15) 24.08% (0.012 0.01) 46.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 58.14% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (0.034999999999997 0.03)43.94% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (0.035999999999994 0.04)66.32% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.121 0.12)28.34% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.153 0.15)64.07% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)18.87% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)50.34% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.98%
    Swindon Town 46.94%
    Draw 24.08%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.98%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 46.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Accrington
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-3 Accrington
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 0-2 Accrington
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Everton U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two


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