SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%).
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town |
28.98% ( 0.15) | 24.08% ( 0.01) | 46.94% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.06% ( 0.03) | 43.94% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( 0.04) | 66.32% ( -0.04) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.12) | 28.34% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( 0.15) | 64.07% ( -0.16) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( -0.05) | 18.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.66% ( -0.08) | 50.34% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.98% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 46.94% |
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