SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
43.84% ( -0.82) | 26.03% ( 0.27) | 30.13% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.27% ( -0.84) | 51.73% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.49% ( -0.73) | 73.5% ( 0.73) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.75) | 23.48% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( -1.1) | 57.5% ( 1.1) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.04) | 31.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( -0.04) | 67.88% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.83% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.13% |
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