While MK Dons are struggling in the relegation zone, Plymouth are involved in a promotion race, and we think that the visitors will continue their fine run of form to claim a sixth consecutive victory in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
-0.82) 
0.27) 
