Cheltenham Town have been solid at home so far this season, and we expect them to grind out another one-goal victory in this one. Even though MK Dons recorded a good win away at Charlton on Tuesday, it is too early to say whether they will turn around their poor start to the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
