Oxford are overwhelming favourites to advance from Saturday's encounter, and we expect the U's to live up to that tag by claiming a relatively comfortable victory over a Grimsby side that has failed to win a single away game this season.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.02) 
