Although Shrewsbury have suffered consecutive away defeats, they have performed well in recent games at New Meadow, and we think that they will do enough in Saturday's contest to get the win and extend their unbeaten home run to five games across all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
