South Shields were excellent against Scunthorpe in the last round of the competition, but we are finding it difficult to back the home side here. Forest Green will have superior quality all over the field, and we are expecting the League One side to progress to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for South Shields had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-3 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a South Shields win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Forest Green Rovers.

Result
South Shields	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
17.98%	18.55%	63.47%

Both teams to score 63.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.81%

30.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.58%

51.42%

South Shields Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27%

29.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21%

65.79%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.85%

9.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.98%

31.02%

Score Analysis

South Shields 17.98%

Forest Green Rovers 63.47%

Draw 18.55%

South Shields	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 4.79% 1-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.31% 2-0 @ 2% 3-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.64% Total : 17.98%	1-1 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 2.72% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.55%	1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 7.52% 0-1 @ 6.5% 0-3 @ 6.2% 2-3 @ 4.56% 1-4 @ 4.5% 0-4 @ 3.71% 2-4 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.15% 0-5 @ 1.77% 2-5 @ 1.31% 3-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.2% Total : 63.47%