SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
58.46% ( 0.06) | 21.78% ( -0.02) | 19.76% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( 0.06) | 42.76% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( 0.06) | 65.16% ( -0.06) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( 0.04) | 14.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.84% ( 0.07) | 42.16% ( -0.07) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( 0) | 35.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.8% ( 0.01) | 72.21% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.59% 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.46% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.76% |
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