Peterborough should have too much for Forest Green to contend with, as the visitors just have not been good enough on the road this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
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