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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
32.42% ( -1.05) | 24.76% ( 0.08) | 42.82% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( -0.68) | 45.38% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( -0.65) | 67.72% ( 0.65) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( -0.97) | 26.79% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( -1.29) | 62.08% ( 1.29) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.16) | 21.24% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.85% ( 0.25) | 54.15% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.42% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.82% |
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