Port Vale have won three of their last five games, including that impressive win at Pride Park last weekend, and while they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Forest Green side who have been very generous in giving up goals.
Rovers have won just one of their last six in League One, conceding 14 in the process, and their only away league win of the season came back in July on the opening day so they may struggle again here on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.04) 
