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FA Cup | Second Round Replays
Dec 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
CA

Stockport
3 - 1
Charlton

Collar (25', 73', 81' pen.)
Rydel (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (7' og.)
Campbell (49'), Forster-Caskey (69'), Mitchell (77'), Dobson (80'), Clare (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Cheltenham
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Charlton Athletic

Stockport will enter this match full of confidence following their strong victory over Hartlepool last time out, and we are expecting the League Two outfit to secure a narrow win here to progress to the third round of the FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
49.77% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 25.61% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.61% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (0.088000000000001 0.09)48.64% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)70.75% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (0.12100000000001 0.12)33.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (0.132 0.13)69.97% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 49.77%
    Charlton Athletic 25.61%
    Draw 24.61%
Stockport CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-5 Stockport
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Stockport
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stockport 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Cheltenham
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Stockport
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-3 Charlton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Charlton (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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