Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
