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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
ST

Stockport
4 - 0
Swindon

Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')
Brown (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Khan (1'), Hutton (29'), Reed (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Swindon Town

Both sides are in great form so we are expecting a tightly-contested affair at Edgeley Park. Stockport have been impressive defensively in recent weeks, and we think that could be the difference here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSwindon Town
48.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.51% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 48.03%
    Swindon Town 27.46%
    Draw 24.51%
Stockport CountyDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Stockport
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 1-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Swindon
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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