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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Walton Road Stadium
CT

Sutton
0 - 0
Crawley

Sutton win 5-4 on penalties

Angol (71')
FT
(aet)

Khaleel (12'), Roles (76')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 4-0 Walsall
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
41.81% (1.552 1.55) 25.76% (-0.777 -0.78) 32.43% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)
Both teams to score 54.27% (2.281 2.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (3.041 3.04)49.78% (-3.041 -3.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (2.657 2.66)71.78% (-2.657 -2.66)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (2.165 2.17)23.62% (-2.165 -2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (3.027 3.03)57.7% (-3.028 -3.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (1.002 1)28.95% (-1 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (1.227 1.23)64.83% (-1.226 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 41.81%
    Crawley Town 32.43%
    Draw 25.76%
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.594 -0.59)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.273 0.27)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.381 0.38)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.22 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.302 0.3)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.222 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.15 0.15)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.885 -0.89)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.315 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.834 -0.83)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.359 -0.36)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.189 0.19)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sutton 4-0 Walsall
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Aston Villa U21s (4-6 pen.)
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crawley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-3 Crawley
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Tranmere
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 4-1 Newport
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two


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