Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
41.81% ( 1.55) | 25.76% ( -0.78) | 32.43% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 54.27% ( 2.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.22% ( 3.04) | 49.78% ( -3.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.21% ( 2.66) | 71.78% ( -2.66) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( 2.17) | 23.62% ( -2.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( 3.03) | 57.7% ( -3.03) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 1) | 28.95% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 1.23) | 64.83% ( -1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.59) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.89) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.43% |
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